As M class flaring proceed and Earth-directed, the chances for an X class is high. Currently set at 15-20%, with the current polar shift of the sun, this should be 30% realistically.
As mentioned before, Earths magnetic field is weakening and taking not only solar pounding, but also cosmic interference. Minor flaring in any Earth directed approach will cause disturbances, and even geomagnetic fluctuations. The above new posting from Suspicious0bservers exclaimed that a new solar halo deviation is already being seen worldwide. As you may have remembered, I posted about this first which was first photographed in China.
Increase threat is combined from 4114 and 4116. Expect to also see M-Class or even lower X class from departing 4105 as that side of the sun interacts with the cosmic gases.
